In quintessential Trump fashion, the US President has yet again upended millions of Indian aspirations with a single stroke of the pen. His latest executive order, hiking the H-1B visa fee to a staggering $1,00,000, has sent shockwaves through India’s tech corridors and diaspora communities.
This move will impact countless Indians, many of whom may be forced to return to India only to face unemployment and frustration, feeing both bereft and disillusioned. For countless engineers, scientists, and innovators, the “American dream” long considered a gateway to global opportunity now seems painfully out of reach.
The H-1B programme, which issues 65,000 visas annually for specialised foreign workers and another 20,000 for advanced-degree holders, has traditionally been dominated by Indians, who account for 70 per cent of all approved beneficiaries.
Previously, the visa fee was roughly $965; Trump’s new proclamation has pushed it to $1,00,000, or over Rs 88 lakh—an astronomical increase that makes working in the US a near-impossible proposition for most.
The fallout is immediate and multifaceted. Industry leaders warn of disruptions for major IT companies such as Infosys, TCS and Wipro, particularly for onshore projects in the US that rely heavily on Indian talent. Bikram Chabhal, president of the Association of Visa and IELTS Centres, cautioned that Indians will bear the brunt of this policy shift. Social media is awash with panic, resignation and debate.
One X user lamented, “Trump just killed the H-1B. The American dream of Indian techies is over.” Another warned of cascading effects on India’s domestic job market, as returning professionals confront limited opportunities.
Also read: One-time $100K H1-B visa fee for new applicants
Yet, amid the panic, there is a silver lining one that India must seize with strategic clarity. Former NITI Ayog CEO Amitabh Kant has suggested that this disruption could become a catalyst for India’s innovation ecosystem. With top-tier engineers, scientists, and innovators potentially redirected back home, India now has a rare opportunity to leverage global talent for domestic development.
Tech hubs like Bangalore, Hyderabad, Pune and Gurgaon could witness an influx of highly skilled professionals, enhancing research and development capabilities, fostering startups and strengthening the country’s position in the global technology market. What the US loses, India could gain.
However, to truly capitalise on this opportunity, India must address both, the push factors driving talent abroad and the pull factors that have historically drawn them to the US.
Push factors include stagnant wages, limited research infrastructure and bureaucratic hurdles within India. Pull factors of the US encompass higher salaries, access to cutting-edge technology, global exposure and a sense of meritocratic mobility.
While the US has historically offered these pull factors, India can begin to create its own ecosystem that mitigates the push factors.
By improving wages in the tech sector, streamlining regulations, and creating incentives for innovation-driven startups, India can offer an alternative to its professionals.
Diplomacy is equally critical. Trump’s impulsive actions, which have unsettled even countries with longstanding agreements, highlight the unpredictable nature of US policy. India must engage strategically, treating the H-1B fee hike as a temporary shock rather than a permanent rupture.
Experts suggest leveraging high-level dialogues, such as the US-India strategic and commercial dialogue, to highlight mutual benefits: Indian talent strengthens US companies while promoting cross-border innovation.
Also read: Dollar dreams come crashing
India can engage industry and trade bodies like NASSCOM, CII and FICCI to present data-backed concerns about the impact on ongoing projects. Constructive proposals such as tiered visa fees linked to salary levels, project-specific exemptions or skill-sharing commitments can align with US priorities while protecting Indian interests.
Social reactions capture the spectrum of emotions: panic, disappointment, cautious optimism and pragmatic reflection. Some express relief at the prospect of focusing on domestic opportunities rather than navigating US immigration whims, while others warn of potential job market pressure if professionals return en masse.
The key lies in foresight, that is, transforming disruption into opportunity.
Trump may have shattered millions of Indian dreams, but India now faces a historic opportunity. Because, Trump has been famously described as a ‘transactional leader’, extreme policies like the H-1B fee hike and his MAGA-driven moves are part of his broader playbook.
Rather than trying to change what Trump will do, India must focus on strengthening its own factors. The question remains; will India rise to the occasion or will it allow a foreign policy shock to dictate its technological destiny?
By Shyna Gupta
Follow us
