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Searched Tag: morgan stanley

'Global economic slowdown won’t affect India, Asia-Pacific'

July 1, 2025, 08:59 PM - 2 min read

Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee (GIC) has pegged India’s GDP growth in 2025 at 5.9 per cent, and in 2026 at 6.4 per cent despite concerns of slower growth in the US, China

Rupee hits all-time low of 86 against US dollar

January 13, 2025, 11:48 AM - 2 min read

The rupee slid to an all-time low of 86 against the US dollar, driven by robust US jobs data. This depreciation signals challenges for India’s economy, including higher import costs and inflationary pressures, amidst global monetary tightening.

India's CPI inflation to ease to 5.5 pc in Nov: Morgan Stanley

India's CPI inflation to ease to 5.5% in Nov: Morgan Stanley

December 9, 2024, 03:44 PM - 2 min read

"We expect CPI inflation to edge down to 5.5% YoY in November from 6.2% YoY in October, aided by a moderation in food prices, even as core inflation ticks up and fuel prices continue to decline. On a sequential basis, we anticipate the index to decline due to contracting food prices and a deceleration in core CPI," a recent report by Morgan Stanley said.

PM Gati Shakti spurs India's infra, growth: Morgan Stanley

PM Gati Shakti scheme spurs India's infra, growth

June 28, 2024, 01:18 PM - 2 min read

According to the Morgan Stanley report, initiatives under PM Gati Shakti are yielding results. The report projects infrastructure investment to rise to 6.5% of GDP by FY29, with $1.45 trillion spent over five years, enhancing logistics and port efficiency.

Morgan Stanley, has predicted a substantial 15.3% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in infrastructure investments in India over the next five years.

India's infrastructure boom ahead: Morgan Stanley

June 24, 2024, 01:45 PM - 2 min read

In its recent publication titled The New India - Infrastructure, Morgan Stanley emphasized the pivotal role of infrastructure investment in economic development. The report highlights India’s increased focus on infrastructure over the past decade, coupled with efforts to enhance productivity.

“India’s economy is a sleeping giant. Once it awakens, it will be a force to be reckoned with”, quoted the Chinese business magnate Jack Ma.
Certainly, with time India's economic journey has garnered international attention with influential global agencies revising their GDP forecasts upwards.

Is India becoming globally endorsed economically?

April 18, 2024, 01:17 PM - 2 min read

The President of the European Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, aptly identifies the essential elements that propels India to greater heights, a path that the nation must tread upon, she states, “India’s story is one of the most compelling in the world, It has all the right ingredients for economic success, a young and dynamic population, a growing middle class, a diverse economy and a vibrant democracy”

In a recent analysis released on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley economists Upasana Chachra and and Bani Gambhir declared that interest rate cuts in India for the fiscal year 2024-25 are “off the table” in light of significant shifts in global economic dynamics, particularly the evolving policy trajectory of the Fed Reserve.

No rate cuts in FY25 for India: Morgan Stanley

April 16, 2024, 01:46 PM - 2 min read

They highlighted key factors such as improving productivity growth, a rising investment rate and inflation hovering above the 4% target set by the Reserve Bank of India(RBI) as drivers for their assessment.

Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting scheduled for April 5, 2024, foreign brokerages and banks have weighed in on the likely trajectory of the repo rate for the fiscal year 2025.

RBI MPC meet FY25: Repo rate to remain steady at 6.5%, suggests consensus among brokerages and banks

March 30, 2024, 03:01 PM - 2 min read

Santanu Sengupta, Chief India Economist at Goldman Sachs India, emphasized the importance of inflation trends, stating, “With 1HCY24 headline inflation still above the RBI’s target, we maintain our view that the RBI will keep the policy repo rate unchanged at 6.5 per cent at the April 5 meeting."

In a recent statement to Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley's chief Asia economist, Chetan Ahya, expressed skepticism about India's potential to replicate China's remarkable economic growth rates.

India can’t achieve China’s past 8-10% growth, Morgan Stanley says

March 19, 2024, 02:46 PM - 2 min read

Contrary to China's remarkable average growth of 10% annually for three decades following its economic reforms in 1978, India's growth trajectory is projected to hover between 6.5% and 7% over an extended period. Ahya highlighted some challenges hindering India's progress, particularly citing deficiencies in infrastructure and a shortage of skilled labor as significant barriers.

In a recent report titled 'The Viewpoint: India - Why this feels like 2003-07', global financial services firm Morgan Stanley highlighted striking parallels between India's current economic trajectory and the prosperous growth period of 2003-07.

India's economic growth echoes 2003-07 period, predicts Morgan Stanley report

March 18, 2024, 03:53 PM - 2 min read

"The capex cycle has more room to run, therefore the current expansion closely resembles that of 2003-07," stated Morgan Stanley. The analysis indicated that the current cycle is propelled by investment outpacing consumption, with public capex leading initially but private capex rapidly catching up.

India's economy is experiencing a robust expansion driven primarily by investment, say economists at Morgan Stanley.

India's economy shows resurgence echoing 2000s boom, driven by investment

March 13, 2024, 04:53 PM - 2 min read

According to Morgan Stanley economists, including Chetan Ahya, India's current growth trajectory closely resembles that of the mid-2000s, marked by sustained expansion averaging more than 8% annually. They emphasize that investment has emerged as a pivotal force propelling the Indian economy forward, indicating potential for further expansion.

Morgan Stanley Research projected a moderation in India's GDP growth for the financial year 2024-25 to 6.5%, down from the 6.9% projection for FY24

India's GDP growth to moderate to 6.5% in FY25, projects Morgan Stanley

February 22, 2024, 12:14 PM - 2 min read

Aditi Nayar stated, "Lower volume growth for the industrial sector, flagging momentum in certain indicators of investment activity, a slowdown in government expenditure and an uneven monsoon are expected to dampen the GDP growth to 6 per cent in Q3 FY24 from 7.6 per cent in Q2 FY24."