On May 9, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board had approved a fresh $1.4 billion loan to Pakistan under its climate resilience fund, and also approved the first review of its $7 billion program, making available about $1 billion in cash. The move invited a sharp reaction from India, which, in the midst of a military stand-off with Pakistan, raised concerns about the “possibility of misuse of debt-financing funds for state-sponsored cross-border terrorism.”
According to a media report on Sunday, the IMF has slapped 11 new conditions on Pakistan for the release of the next tranche of its bailout programme and warned that tensions with India could heighten risks to the scheme’s fiscal, external, and reform goals.
The new conditions imposed on Pakistan include the parliamentary approval of a new ₹17.6 trillion budget, an increase in the debt servicing surcharge on electricity bills and lifting restrictions on import of more than three-year-old used cars.
The IMF report that was released on Saturday also said that the market reaction to India-Pakistan tensions has been modest, with the stock market retaining most of its recent gains and spreads widening moderately.
The international financial body’s report has shown the defence budget for the next fiscal year at ₹2.414 trillion, which is higher by ₹252 billion or 12%. Compared to the IMF’s projection, the government has indicated allocating over ₹2.5 trillion or an 18% higher budget, after confrontation with India early this month.
A report by The Express Tribune says that the 11 new conditions by IMF take the total conditions to 50.
It has imposed the new condition of securing “parliamentary approval of the fiscal year 2026 budget in line with the IMF staff agreement to meet programme targets by end-June 2025”.
The IMF report has shown the total size of the federal budget at ₹17.6 trillion, including ₹1.07 trillion for development spending.
A new condition has also been imposed on the provinces where the four federating units will implement the new Agriculture Income Tax laws through a comprehensive plan, including the establishment of an operational platform for processing returns, taxpayer identification and registration, a communication campaign, and a compliance improvement plan. The deadline for the provinces is June this year.
According to the third new condition, the government will publish a governance action plan based on the recommendations of the Governance Diagnostic Assessment by the IMF. The purpose of the report is to publicly identify reform measures to address critical governance vulnerabilities.
Another new condition states that the government will prepare and publish a plan outlining the government's post-2027 financial sector strategy, outlining the institutional and regulatory environment from 2028 onwards.
In the energy sector, four new conditions have been introduced. The government will issue notifications of the annual electricity tariff rebasing by July 1st of this year to maintain energy tariffs at cost recovery levels. It will also issue a notification of the semi-annual gas tariff adjustment to maintain energy tariffs at cost recovery levels by February 15, 2026, according to the report.
Parliament will also adopt legislation to make the captive power levy ordinance permanent by the end of this month, according to the IMF. The government has increased the cost for the industries to force them to shift to the national electricity grid.
Parliament will also adopt legislation to remove the maximum ₹3.21 per unit cap on the debt service surcharge, which is tantamount to punishing honest electricity consumers to pay for the inefficiency of the power sector.
The IMF and the World Bank dictated that wrong energy policies are causing the accumulation of the circular debt in addition to the government's bad governance. The deadline to remove the cap is the end of June, according to the report.
The IMF has also imposed a condition that Pakistan will prepare a plan based on the assessment conducted to fully phase out all incentives in relation to Special Technology Zones and other industrial parks and zones by 2035. The report has to be prepared by the end of this year.
Finally, the IMF has asked Pakistan to submit to the Parliament all required legislation for lifting all quantitative restrictions on the commercial importation of used motor vehicles (initially only for vehicles less than five years old by the end of July. Currently, only cars up to three years old can be imported).
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