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UK Economy emerges from recession, shows resilience in Q1

This optimism comes at a crucial time for the governing Conservative Party, which faces the looming specter of a significant electoral defeat to the Labour Party later this year.

News Arena Network - New Delhi - UPDATED: May 10, 2024, 01:53 AM - 2 mins read

Official figures released Friday by the Office for National Statistics revealed that the British economy rebounded robustly in the first quarter of the year, marking the end of what economists had labeled a "technical recession."

UK Economy emerges from recession, shows resilience in Q1


Official figures released Friday by the Office for National Statistics revealed that the British economy rebounded robustly in the first quarter of the year, marking the end of what economists had labeled a "technical recession."

 

The data indicated a growth of 0.6% in the economy during the first three months of the year compared to the previous quarter, surpassing economists' predictions of 0.4%.

 

This surge in growth, primarily driven by a strong performance in the services sector, marks the most significant expansion since the fourth quarter of 2021, when the economy was recovering from the pandemic-induced contraction.

 

However, despite the quarterly upswing, the British economy has shown minimal growth over the past year, hampered notably by interest rates reaching a 16-year high of 5.25%.

 

There are signs of relief on the horizon, however, as Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey hinted at a potential rate cut in June if inflation continues its downward trajectory.

 

The aggressive interest rate hikes implemented by the Bank of England in late 2021 were aimed at curbing inflationary pressures, initially triggered by pandemic-related supply chain disruptions and exacerbated by the conflict in Ukraine.

 

While these high interest rates have helped alleviate inflation, they have also acted as a drag on economic growth.

 

Economists now speculate that with inflation cooling and the prospect of lower interest rates, the UK economy may be set for a more sustained period of growth. 

 

However, forecasts remain conservative, with the Bank of England projecting a mere 0.5% growth for the year.

 

Debapratim De, director of economic research at Deloitte, hailed the recent recovery as a "surprisingly strong" one and a potential turning point for the economy.

 

This optimism comes at a crucial time for the governing Conservative Party, which faces the looming specter of a significant electoral defeat to the Labour Party later this year.

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